Which term describes the assessed probability of being targeted by an adversary?

The term that accurately describes the assessed probability of being targeted by an adversary is "Threat." In the context of security and military operations, a threat is any situation, entity, or individual that represents a potential risk to personnel, assets, or operations. Assessing a threat involves evaluating both the capability of an adversary and their intent to act, which culminates in understanding the likelihood of being targeted.

This understanding is crucial for effective risk management and helps in coordination and response planning. Security strategies often revolve around identifying threats, determining their potential impact, and developing countermeasures to mitigate those risks.

Vulnerability, risk level, and criticality refer to different aspects of security management. Vulnerability denotes weaknesses within a system that could be exploited by threats, risk level encompasses the overall assessment of potential losses stemming from threats and vulnerabilities, and criticality relates to the importance or essentiality of an asset or function in maintaining operational capability.